Dr. Jeff Masters' WunderBlog : NOAA Reduces Odds of El Niño Conditions This Winter | Weather Underground
"The chance of a noteworthy El Niño event this winter is becoming more slender, diminishing along with California’s chances for more drought relief. In its latest monthly outlook on the state of the El Niño/Southern Oscillation (ENSO), issued this morning, NOAA's Climate Prediction Center continued its El Niño Watch but reduced the odds of El Niño conditions from the previous 65% to approximately 50–60%. Moreover, the agency now calls for ENSO-neutral conditions (neither El Niño nor La Niña) to be the most likely state of affairs from March onward."
bad news for the folks in cali, but i am glad our chances of a cold/wet winter have gone down. especially after last night's dip into the 30s