That doesn't quite look small enough to be the "small" leaf; a lot of times there's a short leaf (or 2) first, like pictured below.
Here's a more distinct "small" & "flag" leaf:
The critters can trick ya though, lately some of mine weren't throwing the small leaf at all, the flag & bud would just pop out abruptly.
Guess we'll have to wait & see to be able to know for sure. From the top view it doesn't look like it, from the other it looks a lot more like one.
I'm so confoozed...
